Gabe mentioned this on monday, but I've been tinkering with a bracket project. Basically:
1. Looked at 2019, only year NET has been used, studied team sheets and saw what factors were most important to committee and seeding.
2. Used those same criteria to project a field this year.
3. This is based on right now, if the season ended today. Not what is projected to happen based on the outcome of future games.
4. I used Pomeroy to predict the future auto-bid winners. I don't know how they'll be selected at this point. I'm assuming conference tourneys. As such, I picked the teams the forward looking numbers liked the most. Complete guess work.
5. I doubt the committee is incredibly consistent year-to-year. I'm even less confident it will be the case this year. This is difficult. Oregon has dropped like a rock (top 25) for not playing the last 2-3 weeks and now is barely hanging on the periphery of the tournament. Same with SLU. That's not a shot at them, it's just that you can't place them over teams who have done more things, through no fault of their own. I'll continue to update when I get a chance through the rest of the season.
31 Auto-Bids; 37 At-Large. Chart is on an "s-curve." Read left to right on the odd number seeds, right to left on the even number seed lines to follow the true seed list. And no, our 2nd round matchup was not a product of data manipulation.
Last 4 In: WKU; Oregon; Penn St; VCU
Last 4 Byes: Stanford, UNC, LSU, Minnesota
First Four Out: Richmond, Maryland, Uconn, Indiana
Next Four: SMU, St. Mary's, Wichita, Seton Hall
Tear that shit apart.
1. Looked at 2019, only year NET has been used, studied team sheets and saw what factors were most important to committee and seeding.
2. Used those same criteria to project a field this year.
3. This is based on right now, if the season ended today. Not what is projected to happen based on the outcome of future games.
4. I used Pomeroy to predict the future auto-bid winners. I don't know how they'll be selected at this point. I'm assuming conference tourneys. As such, I picked the teams the forward looking numbers liked the most. Complete guess work.
5. I doubt the committee is incredibly consistent year-to-year. I'm even less confident it will be the case this year. This is difficult. Oregon has dropped like a rock (top 25) for not playing the last 2-3 weeks and now is barely hanging on the periphery of the tournament. Same with SLU. That's not a shot at them, it's just that you can't place them over teams who have done more things, through no fault of their own. I'll continue to update when I get a chance through the rest of the season.
31 Auto-Bids; 37 At-Large. Chart is on an "s-curve." Read left to right on the odd number seeds, right to left on the even number seed lines to follow the true seed list. And no, our 2nd round matchup was not a product of data manipulation.
| Seed | Region 1 | Region 2 | Region 3 | Region 4 |
| 1 | Gonzaga | Baylor | Michigan | Houston |
| 2 | Texas | Ohio State | Villanova | Alabama |
| 3 | Illinois | Missouri | Tennessee | Purdue |
| 4 | Wisconsin | Iowa | Va Tech | West Va. |
| 5 | Xavier | Oklahoma | Drake | Texas Tech |
| 6 | USC | Kansas | Florida State | Virginia |
| 7 | Florida | Creighton | UCLA | St. Bonaventure |
| 8 | Rutgers | Clemson | Boise | BYU |
| 9 | Louisville | Oklahoma State ** | Colorado | San Diego St. |
| 10 | Loyola Chi. | Colorado St. | Arkansas | Minnesota |
| 11 | LSU | North Carolina | Stanford | Penn St./VCU |
| 12 | Colgate | SLU | Toledo | West. Ky/Oregon |
| 13 | Winthrop | Marshall | Belmont | UC Santa Barbara |
| 14 | S. Dakota St. | Georgia St. | Siena | Abilene Christ. |
| 15 | Furman | Wright St. | Liberty | Northeastern |
| 16 | Vermont/Norfolk St. | E. Washington/Bryant | Prairie View A&M | Grand Canyon |
Last 4 In: WKU; Oregon; Penn St; VCU
Last 4 Byes: Stanford, UNC, LSU, Minnesota
First Four Out: Richmond, Maryland, Uconn, Indiana
Next Four: SMU, St. Mary's, Wichita, Seton Hall
Tear that shit apart.
