We keep saying the election is a long way off. Now about ten months, but things seem pretty much fixed in place for months now. I’ve nearly given up on anyone beating Trump for the nomination. If Haley could greatly outperform in Iowa and cause the anti Trump vote to nearly all go to her in New Hampshire and South Carolina, perhaps she could make it a race, but it’s a very long shot. So I think it will be Trump . I would rather have had similar policy without the drama.
Biden’s trouble is himself. He was not a popular pick last time. He was a default candidate gifted the nomination because Bernie couldn’t win the general. Unfortunately the people don’t like Biden better ramming Bernie’s left wing socialist policies down their throats. And they don’t trust his cognitive or physical ability now, let alone to watch what 5 more years would look like. I think there is still a chance I would put it at 30% that Biden bows out or literally falls out of the race before convention. So most likely it’s what most don’t want a Trump Biden rematch.
This time Biden doesn’t get the free pass he had in 20, pointing his finger at Trump as evil and himself as the steady hand and great statesman who would govern as a centrist. That is gone . His problem is the huge margins he had with Blacks, Hispanics and Youth are gone as well. They heard the promises and they got a 20% increase in cost of living, high interest rates, an open border sucking up space and city services and two wars. So his numbers are down huge in all three groups. They won’t all vote for Trump, but they will likely stay home or vote for a third party candidate. Of those voting for Trump 44% are very enthusiastic. Biden, 18% are enthusiastic. He’s incapable of exciting them unlike Obama, Clinton or Reagan. That is why the Justice department and state Democrat prosecutors and Democrat courts are trying their best to help..look for FBI and CIA to join in election interference just like Hunter’s laptop. Joe needs a someone to do it for him.
Biden’s trouble is himself. He was not a popular pick last time. He was a default candidate gifted the nomination because Bernie couldn’t win the general. Unfortunately the people don’t like Biden better ramming Bernie’s left wing socialist policies down their throats. And they don’t trust his cognitive or physical ability now, let alone to watch what 5 more years would look like. I think there is still a chance I would put it at 30% that Biden bows out or literally falls out of the race before convention. So most likely it’s what most don’t want a Trump Biden rematch.
This time Biden doesn’t get the free pass he had in 20, pointing his finger at Trump as evil and himself as the steady hand and great statesman who would govern as a centrist. That is gone . His problem is the huge margins he had with Blacks, Hispanics and Youth are gone as well. They heard the promises and they got a 20% increase in cost of living, high interest rates, an open border sucking up space and city services and two wars. So his numbers are down huge in all three groups. They won’t all vote for Trump, but they will likely stay home or vote for a third party candidate. Of those voting for Trump 44% are very enthusiastic. Biden, 18% are enthusiastic. He’s incapable of exciting them unlike Obama, Clinton or Reagan. That is why the Justice department and state Democrat prosecutors and Democrat courts are trying their best to help..look for FBI and CIA to join in election interference just like Hunter’s laptop. Joe needs a someone to do it for him.
A fraying coalition: Black, Hispanic, young voters abandon Biden as election year begins
In a new USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll, Biden's failure to consolidate his victorious 2020 support has left him narrowly trailing Trump.
www.usatoday.com
