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CFP Top 25 Bowl Implications

philconnors12345

Retired Number
Nov 20, 2017
8,692
5,791
31
Top 25 is

1. Alabama
2. Clemson
3. Notre Dame
4. Georgia
5. Oklahoma
6. Ohio State
7. Michigan
8. UCF
9. Florida
10. LSU
11. Washington
12. Penn State
13. Washington State
14. Texas
15. Kentucky
16. West Virginia
17. Utah
18. Mississippi State
19. Texas A&M
20. Syracse
21. Northwestern
22. Boise State
23. Iowa State
24. Mizzou
25. Fresno State

What this means...

Florida and LSU are top 10 and will not move down between now and bowl selection, in fact, they might move up.

That means both are pretty much locks to go to NY6 bowls.

So I think what you see is Kentucky to the Citrus Bowl, probably to play Penn State.

Next comes the Outback. They would choose between #18 Mississippi State, #19 Texas A&M, and #24 Mizzou. The opponent is probably Northwestern or Iowa, but Iowa was there a couple of years ago so it's probably Northwestern. I'm gonna say Mississippi State probably gets this, but it could be any of the three, really.

Then comes Gator. We know that A&M wants a Florida bowl and they are ranked ahead of us, so if Mississippi State gets outback then I think A&M gets Gator. If A&M gets Outback then MSU would not go to Gator because they went there last year. So then it would go to Mizzou. Opponent looks like it's going to be Miami. Gator can take 7-5 Wisconsin, 7-5 Michigan State, or 7-5 Miami. Stewart Mandell is saying he's hearing they're taking Miami and to me that makes sense so I think that's what happens.

Then comes Music City. They take whoever's left of Mizzou or Mississippi State. If Gator takes Miami then Music City gets Wisconsin or Michigan State. Stewart Mandell is predictign Wisconsin and I think that makes sense but I wouldn't be surprised by Michigan State either.

So to me it looks like

70% chance Music City vs Wisconsin or Michigan State
25% chance of Gator vs Miami
5% chance of Outback vs Northwestern
pretty much no chance we fall below that now, especially since we're ranked.

All of those are pretty damn good.
 
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