Big week on the global issues last week. Trade Deal, Tory Victory, Mizzou new HC, Odom to Ark. Greta TIME
1. Mizzou football. I like Drink as the new HC. He is obviously risky, but it seems that offensive minded coaches are the hot item right now. In this year's college football playoff, 3 of the four HCs were/are Offense guys. The lone DC, is of course the SEC team. In fact, in the SEC east, only Dan Mullen was an offense first guy. Now Drink makes #2. In the West, Gus Malzahn and Jimbo Fisher are the only two offense guys that matter. SO going with an offense first guy is good in my opinion, it is popular and against the grain. Drink started off saying the right things, sounding good. I don't know if he is a great Xs and Os guy. I looked over App State's season. Nothing really stood out. They weren't dominate running, nor dominant passing. They lost 1 game that they really shouldn't, but won some they shouldn't have either (USCe and UNC). I know a lot of people like Odom, but he just didn't recruit that well. Losing out on the TIger 10 really hurt Odom. If Odom lands Perkins, then gets Thomas as a result out of that class, he probably is still at Mizzou. A great pass rush DE and another OL would have helped this year and last. Another thing is that Odom's teams just didn't seem to be consistently ready or they would let their guard down easily (Wyoming). I hope Drink can land the kids. There is more talent coming in STL for sure. I am really surprised Odom went to DC. I thought he was a shoe in for Memphis HC job. I wonder if playing against Mizzou was a big motivator for him.
2. Tory Tory Hallelujah I guess. Brexit getting done in January now. Today, I am looking to take some profits in stocks. It is interesting that the conservative party has 55% of the seats, but only 43% of the popular vote. I see that happening in USA in 2020. The issue is that hardly any of the areas are 90% conservative vote. However in urban areas of america, the vote is 80-90% democrat. This will increase the divide. In 2016, St. Louis was 80% HRC, KC was 75% HRC. There are counties that are 85% GOP, but they have 3000 people. So with that said, I am going to spend a few sentences focused on the importance of the Electoral College. My Con Law Professor used to say, the US Constitution is for the majority, but to protect the minority. The Electoral College shows exactly that. I used the example from the Hunger Games. In PanEm (the country in hunger games), there are 12(13) Districts and 1 Capital. The Districts (at least they appear to be) very rural without HUGE populations. The Capital is MASSIVELY populated. PanEm was not a democracy, but it could have been. All the Districts supported, contributed to the Capital. Everyone in the districts was poor and the Capital was RICH. This could happen without an electoral college. There are 110 Electoral Votes among Penn and the North East. It used to be way more. They could have essentially voted for the rest of the country to supply and feed them. People can argue that well, that would be wrong and they wouldn't just take all that power. I retort, no one gives up power. The reason we recognize instances when it happens is because it is rare, not because it is common. While 8-10 states seem to control the POTUS election (these states tend to change btw), they don't control the Senate or the House. The Electoral College needs to stay, because it does protect the minority. The House protects the Majority. I don't know how the Tory's won that many seats with that small share of pop vote. Another interesting tidbit was in areas where the Liberal Dems won, they won HUGE. Something to watch.
3. Trade Deal, kind of. I can't see the details. I don't have a ton of confidence in this, but that it was something to buy a year of time, allow the delay of 15% percent tariffs and reduce the strain at this time. This is the give the economy growth through 2020, so that Trump can win the Election (more on this later). The Ag buys sound good, but I didn't see much price action this morning. Price of Soybeans and Corn hasn't moved much. It sucks that this was done. I feel bad for those negatively affected, because at the end of the day, I am not sure what was accomplished. I guess we will wait to see Phase 2.
4. Greta Time Person of the Year. I think she deserved it. First off, the finalists were, Donald (I think he gets it in 2020), Nancy Pelosi, Hong Kong Protestors, The Whistleblower, and Greta. Of those, Greta seems like the best option. Greta started her strike just over a year ago. In that time, she has gained 4 million Twitter Followers, She spoke at the UN, got someone to pay for her sailing voyage across the Atlantic and back. She takes public transportation. She actually sacrifices convenience for her cause (which is way different than celeb activists). Nancy was an interesting option, I think she did an amazing job trying to keep the squad in check, but ultimately, they won out a bit. But Pelosi isn't really the face of her own party, so that cuts against her. The whistleblower is kind of weak, because nothing has been accomplished yet. The Hong Kong protestors kind of flamed out a bit. I think Greta was a good choice.
5. POTUS 2020 update. The new polls last week went Biden. Biden with the lead in Iowa. Biden with big spreads in national. In the general Polls, Biden with best shot at beating Trump. In General Election Polls, Trump moved up. These polls are taken before Trade deal, really they are based on Impeachment. The FoxNews polls had Trump getting CRUSHED and now none of the Dem candidates have a double digit lead. In the state polls, bad news for Dems again, Trump leads everyone in Wisconsin and Arizona, except Biden. It's obvious that if the economy stays good, Trump wins. If it goes bad, Dems win. It seems really that simple.
1. Mizzou football. I like Drink as the new HC. He is obviously risky, but it seems that offensive minded coaches are the hot item right now. In this year's college football playoff, 3 of the four HCs were/are Offense guys. The lone DC, is of course the SEC team. In fact, in the SEC east, only Dan Mullen was an offense first guy. Now Drink makes #2. In the West, Gus Malzahn and Jimbo Fisher are the only two offense guys that matter. SO going with an offense first guy is good in my opinion, it is popular and against the grain. Drink started off saying the right things, sounding good. I don't know if he is a great Xs and Os guy. I looked over App State's season. Nothing really stood out. They weren't dominate running, nor dominant passing. They lost 1 game that they really shouldn't, but won some they shouldn't have either (USCe and UNC). I know a lot of people like Odom, but he just didn't recruit that well. Losing out on the TIger 10 really hurt Odom. If Odom lands Perkins, then gets Thomas as a result out of that class, he probably is still at Mizzou. A great pass rush DE and another OL would have helped this year and last. Another thing is that Odom's teams just didn't seem to be consistently ready or they would let their guard down easily (Wyoming). I hope Drink can land the kids. There is more talent coming in STL for sure. I am really surprised Odom went to DC. I thought he was a shoe in for Memphis HC job. I wonder if playing against Mizzou was a big motivator for him.
2. Tory Tory Hallelujah I guess. Brexit getting done in January now. Today, I am looking to take some profits in stocks. It is interesting that the conservative party has 55% of the seats, but only 43% of the popular vote. I see that happening in USA in 2020. The issue is that hardly any of the areas are 90% conservative vote. However in urban areas of america, the vote is 80-90% democrat. This will increase the divide. In 2016, St. Louis was 80% HRC, KC was 75% HRC. There are counties that are 85% GOP, but they have 3000 people. So with that said, I am going to spend a few sentences focused on the importance of the Electoral College. My Con Law Professor used to say, the US Constitution is for the majority, but to protect the minority. The Electoral College shows exactly that. I used the example from the Hunger Games. In PanEm (the country in hunger games), there are 12(13) Districts and 1 Capital. The Districts (at least they appear to be) very rural without HUGE populations. The Capital is MASSIVELY populated. PanEm was not a democracy, but it could have been. All the Districts supported, contributed to the Capital. Everyone in the districts was poor and the Capital was RICH. This could happen without an electoral college. There are 110 Electoral Votes among Penn and the North East. It used to be way more. They could have essentially voted for the rest of the country to supply and feed them. People can argue that well, that would be wrong and they wouldn't just take all that power. I retort, no one gives up power. The reason we recognize instances when it happens is because it is rare, not because it is common. While 8-10 states seem to control the POTUS election (these states tend to change btw), they don't control the Senate or the House. The Electoral College needs to stay, because it does protect the minority. The House protects the Majority. I don't know how the Tory's won that many seats with that small share of pop vote. Another interesting tidbit was in areas where the Liberal Dems won, they won HUGE. Something to watch.
3. Trade Deal, kind of. I can't see the details. I don't have a ton of confidence in this, but that it was something to buy a year of time, allow the delay of 15% percent tariffs and reduce the strain at this time. This is the give the economy growth through 2020, so that Trump can win the Election (more on this later). The Ag buys sound good, but I didn't see much price action this morning. Price of Soybeans and Corn hasn't moved much. It sucks that this was done. I feel bad for those negatively affected, because at the end of the day, I am not sure what was accomplished. I guess we will wait to see Phase 2.
4. Greta Time Person of the Year. I think she deserved it. First off, the finalists were, Donald (I think he gets it in 2020), Nancy Pelosi, Hong Kong Protestors, The Whistleblower, and Greta. Of those, Greta seems like the best option. Greta started her strike just over a year ago. In that time, she has gained 4 million Twitter Followers, She spoke at the UN, got someone to pay for her sailing voyage across the Atlantic and back. She takes public transportation. She actually sacrifices convenience for her cause (which is way different than celeb activists). Nancy was an interesting option, I think she did an amazing job trying to keep the squad in check, but ultimately, they won out a bit. But Pelosi isn't really the face of her own party, so that cuts against her. The whistleblower is kind of weak, because nothing has been accomplished yet. The Hong Kong protestors kind of flamed out a bit. I think Greta was a good choice.
5. POTUS 2020 update. The new polls last week went Biden. Biden with the lead in Iowa. Biden with big spreads in national. In the general Polls, Biden with best shot at beating Trump. In General Election Polls, Trump moved up. These polls are taken before Trade deal, really they are based on Impeachment. The FoxNews polls had Trump getting CRUSHED and now none of the Dem candidates have a double digit lead. In the state polls, bad news for Dems again, Trump leads everyone in Wisconsin and Arizona, except Biden. It's obvious that if the economy stays good, Trump wins. If it goes bad, Dems win. It seems really that simple.
