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PM Bracketology 2/22

mizzoucobra

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Mar 30, 2006
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Considerations have been previously posted.

This is a bit of a new "system." Took 2019's bracket as the basis and made a few changes to the formula based on the 2021 bracket preview selections. Granted, 16-18 teams is a very small sample and there were outliers, no matter how you moved the system, but I attempted to justify it as much as I could in light of 2019.

This is the result. FWIW, Mizzou is the "1st" 6 seed. There's a huge jumble of teams in the 3-6 lines that are very difficult to distinguish between. Mizzou is the 14th at-large in this system. There are 37 at-larges selected. To give you a bit of an idea of the cushion the Tigers are working with. I see Mizzou's "best" ways to improve seeding from here on out...obviously playing and beating good teams. They have a Q2 and Q1 game for sure remaining. It would also be beneficial to win whatever games are played by a larger margin than they have been. Like it or not, NET is partially based on possession level data.

To give you an idea of how close Mizzou is to other teams, a win vs. Arkansas would have had them at the end of the 4 line, beginning of 5. Basically where the committee had them pegged before the Arkansas game. Even with the UGA loss. It's that close. On the plus side, after the 6's and early 7's, there's a pretty good drop off.

Anyway, fire away

SeedRegion 1Region 2Region 3Region 4
1GonzagaBaylorMichiganOhio State
2IowaWest VirginiaAlabamaIllinois
3OklahomaVillanovaHoustonFlorida State
4WisconsinUSCKansasVirginia
5ArkansasPurdueClemsonCreighton
6TennesseeTexasBYUMizzou
7Texas TechLSUColoradoVa Tech
8Loyola ChiRutgersUNCMaryland
9San Diego St.Boise St.UCLAOklahoma St
10VCUDrakeOregonFlorida
11MinnesotaSt. BonaventureLouisvilleIndiana
12BelmontColgateColorado St./StanfordSeton Hall/Xavier
13UC Santa BarbaraToledoWinthropMarshall
14LibertyFurmanAbilene ChristianWright State
15E. WashingtonSienaGrand CanyonSouth Dakota St.
16Northeastern/NorfolkBryant/Prairie ViewVermontGeorgia St.

Last 4 byes: VCU, Minnesota, Louisville, Indiana
Last 4 in: Seton Hall, Xavier, Colorado St., Stanford
First 12 out: SMU, Syracuse, Wichita, UConn, Ga Tech, WKU, Richmond, Duke, Penn State, SLU, Memphis, Ole Miss
 
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