My list:
1. Arkansas 3/3
2. A&M 2/13
3. @Vanderbilt 2/27
4. Ole Miss 2/20
5. @Kentucky 2/24
6. @LSU 2/17
Arkansas is more winnable than A&M, and therefore more important to take care of business in. We can afford to lose to A&M, but it’s still a really big game because of where the teams are in the standings and it’s a home game.
Ole Miss is an absolute must win, but it’s also a probable win, so it’s not as high on the list. Vandy is an extremely important game because it’s probably the only road game that we have a realistic shot in. LSU is going to beat us at home. And so will Kentucky, although I’m beginning to think that game may be winnable.
If we win out at home and take a road game, we’ll finish 11-7, be a lock for a top 4 finish, and likely finish 3rd, possibly 2nd. If we drop one at home but still get one on the road, or win out at home and lose out on the road, we finish 10-8 and likely finish in a tie for 4th. Anything worse (drop one at home and lose out on the road) means 9-9 and anywhere from a 6 to a 9 seed. I still think if this were to happen, we would sneak into the NCAAs even without a win in the SEC tournament, but barely.
In other words, we are 2 wins from the NCAA tournament. 3 at most.
1. Arkansas 3/3
2. A&M 2/13
3. @Vanderbilt 2/27
4. Ole Miss 2/20
5. @Kentucky 2/24
6. @LSU 2/17
Arkansas is more winnable than A&M, and therefore more important to take care of business in. We can afford to lose to A&M, but it’s still a really big game because of where the teams are in the standings and it’s a home game.
Ole Miss is an absolute must win, but it’s also a probable win, so it’s not as high on the list. Vandy is an extremely important game because it’s probably the only road game that we have a realistic shot in. LSU is going to beat us at home. And so will Kentucky, although I’m beginning to think that game may be winnable.
If we win out at home and take a road game, we’ll finish 11-7, be a lock for a top 4 finish, and likely finish 3rd, possibly 2nd. If we drop one at home but still get one on the road, or win out at home and lose out on the road, we finish 10-8 and likely finish in a tie for 4th. Anything worse (drop one at home and lose out on the road) means 9-9 and anywhere from a 6 to a 9 seed. I still think if this were to happen, we would sneak into the NCAAs even without a win in the SEC tournament, but barely.
In other words, we are 2 wins from the NCAA tournament. 3 at most.
