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FOOTBALL RECRUITING Recruiting Star Analysis For Every College Team

KjS31

Letterman
Dec 9, 2019
292
1,185
31
Memphis is killing it and Tennessee and Nebraska are not very good.

Screen-Shot-2019-12-23-at-10.48.36-AM.png

Teams above the red dotted line (0%, no difference) are teams that are exceeding expectations in terms of their expected draft rate and their actual draft rate. Teams below the line are underperforming and not getting players into the NFL at the rate that they should be based on the caliber of players they recruit.

Some callouts:

  • Based on the caliber of players Stanford recruits, their predicted draft rate is 11%, but they’ve exceeded expectations by having an actual draft rate of 21%.
  • UCF’s actual draft rate is 6.2% and their predicted draft rate is 4.5%. UCF ranks 19th in terms of getting players drafted versus what’s expected from them based on the players they recruit.
  • The University of South Florida (USF), UCF’s rival, has the third worst ranking of all teams with an actual draft rate of 1.4% and their predicted draft rate of 6.1% (a percentage difference of -77%).
  • Despite having the highest draft probability, USC (Southern California) ranks 11th in getting players drafted in the NFL.
  • 30% of Alabama players get drafted, which is 42% higher than expected (21%)
  • Memphis ranks 1st when it comes to “doing more with less.” Their predicted draft rate is 2.6%, but they’ve had 6% of their players get drafted.
To put the data to scale, instead of using percentages, below you can see the actual number of players drafted (X-axis) and the volume difference between actual and expected number of players drafted (Y-axis). This visual helps understand the actual volume impact of how well each team is performing, primarily for the bigger colleges.

Screen-Shot-2019-12-24-at-7.42.35-AM-1024x707.png


https://netconversion.com/innovation/recruiting-star-analysis/
 
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