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Saturday Scenarios - Simple

ski-tiger

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Dec 31, 2002
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Here are the odds of each seed based on realtimerpi's GAMER probabilities:

8th: 8.5%
7th: 18.3%
6th: 30.7%
5th: 42.5%

Total Day Session: 51%
Total Night Session: 49%

Hopefully this is a simple way to present the scenarios:

Scenarios:

8th Seed (Day Session): MIZZOU loses - TAMU, MSU win
7th Seed (Night Session): MIZZOU loses - MSU losses, TAMU wins OR MSU wins, TAMU loses
6th Seed (Night Session): MIZZOU loses - MSU loses, TAMU loses
6th Seed (Night Session): MIZZOU wins - UK wins
5th Seed (Day Session): MIZZOU wins - FL wins

MIZZOU wins: Our fate is tied to the 11am game UK/FL, that's it. Simple. We would play UK on Friday in either scenario.

MIZZOU loses: TAMU/MSU control our destiny. If they both win, we are the 8th seed. If 1 wins, we are 7th seed. If both lose, we are the 6th seed.

Oddity: UK wins, MSU loses, TAMU loses - we are the 6th seed no matter what we do.

Games:

UK @ FL 11am - Affects our seed IF MIZZOU wins
Miss @ LSU Noon - Affects our seed IF MIZZOU loses
Bama @ TAMU 1pm - Affects our seed IF MIZZOU loses
USC @ Auburn 2:30pm - No affect
Georgia @ UT 5pm - No affect
Vandy @ Ole Miss 730pm - No affect
 
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