Pomeroy has a nice feature on his subscriber site that lists "tiers" of wins. Accounting for the theory (fact) that it's harder to win at road games than neutral sites, and harder at neutral sites than at home, he devised a ranking system to measure these. Put simply, a top 50 win (adjusted for site) rates as a "Tier A" and a top 51-100 (again, adjusted for site) rates as a "Tier B."
While it should be noted that the NCAA hasn't explicitly endorsed using his analytical system, they do use analytical rankings that are similar, and have announced that they are adjusting wins/losses for difficulty based on location of where the games were played.
Anyway, here's how our schedule appears to shape up at this point (and doesn't account for postseason conference tournament, while prior years do):
2018
Tier A: 15 (1-2)
Tier B: 6 (1-0)
2017:
Tier A: 11 (0-11)
Tier B: 10 (3-7)
2016:
Tier A: 11 (0-11)
Tier B: 5 (1-4)
2015:
Tier A: 12 (0-12)
Tier B: 8 (2-6)
2014:
Tier A: 12 (4-8)
Tier B: 5 (3-2)
2013: (tournament)
Tier A: 12 (4-8)
Tier B: 5 (3-2)
2012: (tournament)
Tier A: 11 (8-3)
Tier B: 10 (9-1)
2011: (tournament)
Tier A: 12 (2-10)
Tier B: 6 (6-0)
2010: (tournament)
Tier A: 11 (5-6)
Tier B: 8 (4-4)
2009: (tournament)
Tier A: 13 (7-6)
Tier B: 6 (6-0)
Now, it's pretty much a given that these numbers will change, although in most cases, his system is pretty reliable from start to finish for most teams...
But if you win more of your "tier B" games than you lose, win 5+ "tier A" games, and have something close to a .500 record in those games combined...and avoid garbage losses...you're on track.
And Mizzou is going to have a lot of opportunities.
While it should be noted that the NCAA hasn't explicitly endorsed using his analytical system, they do use analytical rankings that are similar, and have announced that they are adjusting wins/losses for difficulty based on location of where the games were played.
Anyway, here's how our schedule appears to shape up at this point (and doesn't account for postseason conference tournament, while prior years do):
2018
Tier A: 15 (1-2)
Tier B: 6 (1-0)
2017:
Tier A: 11 (0-11)
Tier B: 10 (3-7)
2016:
Tier A: 11 (0-11)
Tier B: 5 (1-4)
2015:
Tier A: 12 (0-12)
Tier B: 8 (2-6)
2014:
Tier A: 12 (4-8)
Tier B: 5 (3-2)
2013: (tournament)
Tier A: 12 (4-8)
Tier B: 5 (3-2)
2012: (tournament)
Tier A: 11 (8-3)
Tier B: 10 (9-1)
2011: (tournament)
Tier A: 12 (2-10)
Tier B: 6 (6-0)
2010: (tournament)
Tier A: 11 (5-6)
Tier B: 8 (4-4)
2009: (tournament)
Tier A: 13 (7-6)
Tier B: 6 (6-0)
Now, it's pretty much a given that these numbers will change, although in most cases, his system is pretty reliable from start to finish for most teams...
But if you win more of your "tier B" games than you lose, win 5+ "tier A" games, and have something close to a .500 record in those games combined...and avoid garbage losses...you're on track.
And Mizzou is going to have a lot of opportunities.
