If this guy is correct then the ACC's GOR are pretty much unbreakable. Even if the majority of the members vote them down or dissolve the conference, they still can't break them. Buying them out would cost hundreds of millions of dollars right now. And they don't end for another 14 years.
frankthetank.org
Now, caveat, this is "Frank the Tank", a Chicago lawyer and Big Ten blogger that Gabe likes to make fun of, and who I try not to post very often because he's had a lot of opinions on realignment I don't necessarily subscribe to. But this is really a pure legal matter and he may actually have some knowledge here.
There's been a lot of talk of schools finding a way to get out of GOR in the ACC. Maybe not immediately, but within the next few years. But if this is correct, it's not happening.
What this probably means, if true:
The SEC will add Texas and OU and will stay at 16 for at least another 10 to 14 years.
The Big Ten is probably only going to expand to 18 at most and maybe only 16 for the next 10 to 14 years.
The ACC is kind of just stuck. There's not much they can do. Nobody's going to want to join them, because they'd have to sign the GOR through 2036, and nobody can leave. So they're stuck.
The only remaining movement is between the Pac 12 and Big 12. The question that remains to be answered is, does thee Big 12 take some of the Pac 12 teams, and if so, how many, 4, 6, or 8? In Jon Wilner's column today he's strongly of the opinion that the BIg 12 will either get 0 or 8 from the Pac 12. He basically said, if the Pac can get a workable TV deal, they'll all stay put and expand with a couple teams like SDSU and SMU. If their TV options suck, then 8 of them will join the Big 12 and it'll go to 20. Apparently the Big 12 refuses to take Washington State and Oregon State, but they'd take the rest.
So anyway, tldr, if it's true that GOR is basically unbreakable, then the SEC, Big Ten, and ACC are basically done for a long, long time. Apparently Big 12 and Pac 12 is the only realignment action left until after my kids are out of college in the mid 2030s.
Dissolution is Not a Solution to Break a Grant of Rights Agreement
It has been a whirlwind for the past three weeks since the Big Ten announced that it was expanding with USC and UCLA. I have a lot of thoughts on what the Big Ten will (or more likely, won’t)…
frankthetank.org
Now, caveat, this is "Frank the Tank", a Chicago lawyer and Big Ten blogger that Gabe likes to make fun of, and who I try not to post very often because he's had a lot of opinions on realignment I don't necessarily subscribe to. But this is really a pure legal matter and he may actually have some knowledge here.
There's been a lot of talk of schools finding a way to get out of GOR in the ACC. Maybe not immediately, but within the next few years. But if this is correct, it's not happening.
What this probably means, if true:
The SEC will add Texas and OU and will stay at 16 for at least another 10 to 14 years.
The Big Ten is probably only going to expand to 18 at most and maybe only 16 for the next 10 to 14 years.
The ACC is kind of just stuck. There's not much they can do. Nobody's going to want to join them, because they'd have to sign the GOR through 2036, and nobody can leave. So they're stuck.
The only remaining movement is between the Pac 12 and Big 12. The question that remains to be answered is, does thee Big 12 take some of the Pac 12 teams, and if so, how many, 4, 6, or 8? In Jon Wilner's column today he's strongly of the opinion that the BIg 12 will either get 0 or 8 from the Pac 12. He basically said, if the Pac can get a workable TV deal, they'll all stay put and expand with a couple teams like SDSU and SMU. If their TV options suck, then 8 of them will join the Big 12 and it'll go to 20. Apparently the Big 12 refuses to take Washington State and Oregon State, but they'd take the rest.
So anyway, tldr, if it's true that GOR is basically unbreakable, then the SEC, Big Ten, and ACC are basically done for a long, long time. Apparently Big 12 and Pac 12 is the only realignment action left until after my kids are out of college in the mid 2030s.
