Share thoughts/news here. Always have found debates thoroughly entertaining (if not completely worthless for my ultimate vote).
They intrigue for these may be unmatched, at least in my mind.
Not only intriguing, but possibly very important for both candidates. They both received positive polling after their respective conventions. But now will both be on display, required to think on their feet.
Looking over Nate Silver's projections and comparing where we were one month ago (which was a full month removed from conventions and their subsequent "bumps"), things have changed dramatically...
% chance of win
Overall
Then: Hillary 81%
Now: Hillary 53%
Arizona
Then: Draw 50%
Now: Trump 76%
Colorado
Then: Hillary 86%
Now: Hillary 59%
Florida
Then: Hillary 72%
Now: Trump 57%
Georgia
Then: Trump 54%
Now: Trump 83%
Iowa
Then: Hillary: 64%
Now: Trump 70%
Michigan
Then: 89%
Now: 64%
Nevada
Then: Hillary 74%
Now: Trump 57%
New Hampshire
Then: Hillary 78%
Now: Hillary 60%
North Carolina:
Then: Hillary 64%
Now: Trump 62%
Ohio
Then: Hillary: 72%
Now: Trump: 64%
Pennsylvania
Then: Hillary 82%
Now: Hillary 66%
Virginia:
Then: Hillary 87%
Now: Hillary 74%
They intrigue for these may be unmatched, at least in my mind.
Not only intriguing, but possibly very important for both candidates. They both received positive polling after their respective conventions. But now will both be on display, required to think on their feet.
Looking over Nate Silver's projections and comparing where we were one month ago (which was a full month removed from conventions and their subsequent "bumps"), things have changed dramatically...
% chance of win
Overall
Then: Hillary 81%
Now: Hillary 53%
Arizona
Then: Draw 50%
Now: Trump 76%
Colorado
Then: Hillary 86%
Now: Hillary 59%
Florida
Then: Hillary 72%
Now: Trump 57%
Georgia
Then: Trump 54%
Now: Trump 83%
Iowa
Then: Hillary: 64%
Now: Trump 70%
Michigan
Then: 89%
Now: 64%
Nevada
Then: Hillary 74%
Now: Trump 57%
New Hampshire
Then: Hillary 78%
Now: Hillary 60%
North Carolina:
Then: Hillary 64%
Now: Trump 62%
Ohio
Then: Hillary: 72%
Now: Trump: 64%
Pennsylvania
Then: Hillary 82%
Now: Hillary 66%
Virginia:
Then: Hillary 87%
Now: Hillary 74%
