I was curious to see if underclassmen who were not drafted did well in the NFL.
I looked at the last 5 years by comparing the number of underclassmen that declared and whether they correlated to more or less games played in the NFL. Here is what I found.
2018:
Underclassmen RB declared - 12
Drafted - 8
Played a game - 6
YPC of those drafted - 3.5
Average games played per year - 11.5
Not drafted - 4
Played a game - 1
YPC of those not drafted - 4.3
Average games played - 14
2017:
Underclassmen RB declared - 18
Drafted - 13
Played a game - 13
YPC of those drafted - 4.5
Average games played per year - 8.5
Not drafted - 5
Played a game - 0
2016:
Underclassmen RB declared - 10
Drafted - 9
Played a game - 8
YPC of those drafted - 4.175
Average games played per year - 8
Not drafted - 1 (Peyton Barber)
YPC - 3.8
Games played per year- 15.6
2015:
Underclassmen RB declared - 13
Drafted - 10
Played a game - 10
YPC of those drafted - 3.92
Average games played per year - 11.125
Not drafted - 3
Played a game - 1
YPC - 6.0
Average games played per year - .6
2014:
Underclassmen RB declared - 18
Drafted - 9
Played a game - 9
YPC of those drafted - 3.85
Average games player per year - 8.5
Not drafted - 9
Played a game - 4
YPC - 3.73
Average games player per year - 6.6
Total underclassmen that went undrafted - 22
Total undeclassmen that went undrafted and played an NFL game - 7
32% chance to play a game in the NFL if you are not drafted as an underclassmen RB versus 94% of those drafted.
It is fairly obvious that the guys who are drafted are obviously better players and thus are more likely to have success.
There have been some success stories obviously, but if I'm told I won't be drafted, I'd probably stay in school and get my degree or work towards becoming a player teams would draft.
Obviously draw your own conclusions from this, I was actually surprised by the number of underclassmen RB that declared each year.
I looked at the last 5 years by comparing the number of underclassmen that declared and whether they correlated to more or less games played in the NFL. Here is what I found.
2018:
Underclassmen RB declared - 12
Drafted - 8
Played a game - 6
YPC of those drafted - 3.5
Average games played per year - 11.5
Not drafted - 4
Played a game - 1
YPC of those not drafted - 4.3
Average games played - 14
2017:
Underclassmen RB declared - 18
Drafted - 13
Played a game - 13
YPC of those drafted - 4.5
Average games played per year - 8.5
Not drafted - 5
Played a game - 0
2016:
Underclassmen RB declared - 10
Drafted - 9
Played a game - 8
YPC of those drafted - 4.175
Average games played per year - 8
Not drafted - 1 (Peyton Barber)
YPC - 3.8
Games played per year- 15.6
2015:
Underclassmen RB declared - 13
Drafted - 10
Played a game - 10
YPC of those drafted - 3.92
Average games played per year - 11.125
Not drafted - 3
Played a game - 1
YPC - 6.0
Average games played per year - .6
2014:
Underclassmen RB declared - 18
Drafted - 9
Played a game - 9
YPC of those drafted - 3.85
Average games player per year - 8.5
Not drafted - 9
Played a game - 4
YPC - 3.73
Average games player per year - 6.6
Total underclassmen that went undrafted - 22
Total undeclassmen that went undrafted and played an NFL game - 7
32% chance to play a game in the NFL if you are not drafted as an underclassmen RB versus 94% of those drafted.
It is fairly obvious that the guys who are drafted are obviously better players and thus are more likely to have success.
There have been some success stories obviously, but if I'm told I won't be drafted, I'd probably stay in school and get my degree or work towards becoming a player teams would draft.
Obviously draw your own conclusions from this, I was actually surprised by the number of underclassmen RB that declared each year.
