My Twitter conversation with the chairman of the Sage Covid modelling committee
The latest Sage papers have been published, envisaging anything from 200 to 6,000 deaths a day from Omicron depending on how many more restrictions we’ll get — up to and very much including another lockdown. Earlier today I had an unexpected chance to ask questions of Graham Medley, the chair of...
www.spectator.co.uk
The money shot: “We generally model what we are asked to model”
and “decision-makers are generally only interested in situations where decisions have to be made”
finally
“we model the scenarios that are useful to decisions”
