The annual NSF research rankings are out. These are the official numbers, not the estimates that Mizzou came out with a while back.
ncses.nsf.gov
Mizzou went up from #88 a couple years ago to #78 last year to #71 this year. Biggest news is that we passed kU. We're now back ahead of kU after having fallen behind them for the past several years.
Looking at the list, the top 50 ranked schools are pretty much all in the AAU. Another 15 or so outside of the top 50 are AAU members. Iowa State, at #77, was recently forced out. So we're not totally safe at #71, but it's getting better. There are several AAU schools ranked behind us, including kU, Oregon, and a few others.
As I discussed a bunch in the other thread, the NextGen Center, the new nuclear facility, the MizzouForward initiative, and other research expansions should see our research numbers up around $500 million within the next 5 to 10 years. Currently it's at around $400 million. $500 million would get us into the mid 50s in the rankings. At that point we'd be ahead of at least a dozen other AAU schools and I don't think we'd be at any risk of getting kicked out. Especially since we're mainly focusing on expanding federal research grants and that's where we're having the most growth, which is what the AAU cares most about. And also, Mizzou is smaller than a lot of the other AAU schools, and they factor in size of school when they evaluate these things. So we should be fine.
Here are the conference rankings:
SEC:
16. Texas A&M
24. Vanderbilt
27. Florida
35. Texas
57. Georgia
64. Kentucky
71. Mizzou
74. Oklahoma
85. Tennessee
91. LSU
97. Mississippi State
100. Auburn
113. South Carolina
140. Arkansas
150. Alabama
158. Ole Miss
A few notes on the SEC.
1) I expect Mizzou to pass Kentucky in the next few years and maybe catch up to Georgia by the end of the decade just based on all the research expansion they have in the works.
2) The top half of the SEC is pretty respectable at this point
3) Oklahoma has actually improved quite a bit. I've read some articles and OU is really trying to get into the AAU. They might just get there eventually.
4) Kentucky is improving too. They could conceivably get into the AAU. And Georgia isn't too far off. The SEC currently has 5 AAU members but it's concievable they could eventually get to 8 even without adding UNC and Virginia.
5) Believe it or not, Alabama is improving. They were dead last and in the 160s last year, and now they've passed Ole Miss and they're catching up to Arkansas. I've read they're trying to turn things around down there.
Here are the rankings of a few other schools of interest:
13. UNC (SEC's top expansion target)
37. Illinois
40. Indiana
48. Virginia (another SEC expansion target)
50. Iowa
52. Colorado
65. SUNY Buffalo (the next AAU school Mizzou could pass on the list)
72. kansas (now behind Mizzou, they are also trying to not get kicked out of the AAU)
77. Iowa State (Mizzou passed them last year, recently got pushed out of the AAU)
87. Nebraska (another school that got kicked out of the AAU)
120. Kansas State
126. Oklahoma State
Basically we need to keep making progress. If we fall down the rankings, we'll almost certainly get kicked out of the AAU. If we keep climbing, we'll be fine. If we go up another 10 to 15 spots, then we're going to be totally safe. Everything that we have in the works right now is designed to do exactly that.