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FOOTBALL What I'd do to make Mizzou Football competitive in the SEC

With the NIL and Transfer Portal, it's clear that Mizzou is going to have to find some kind of advantage on the field vs their SEC peers, as they'll never have a clear advantage off of it. IMO, one of the "easiest" ways to do this would be to flip this offense upside down (not now -- Drinkwitz doesn't run it and Mizzou is recruiting for other schemes) and get back to the roots of college football -- run the Triple Option. This may not be the most appealing proposition, but hear me out:

1. The Triple Option is all about the OL and finding a QB that can run it effectively and efficiently. The thing about the Triple Option, at least IMO, is that you're typically not going to be recruiting the top players in the country for it. It's a schematic fit that a lot of players may not be fit for as it requires more than just skill -- the Triple Option is the ultimate TEAM offense and there are a lot of equal parts to it with very few "stars", outside of 1 or 2 RBs and the QB. And if you're a RB or a QB who signed up for this offense, why would you go elsewhere, past NIL? To be frank, the kind of players that would choose to play in this kind of offense aren't typically going to be the variety that are overly concerned with NIL deals and a lot will come in as under the radar players with chips on their shoulder and a drive to prove they belong. It's a different animal and requires a different kind of football player (in today's day and age) to succeed.

2. This is the most important aspect in my mind: NOBODY RUNS THIS OFFENSE IN DIVISION 1 FOOTBALL. Well, a few teams do -- your Service Academies and possibly a couple FCS schools. But no P5 schools run this offense anymore. It's a unicorn for today's defenses and DC's to try and scheme for as you just don't see it at the FBS level. The ONLY way Mizzou will be competitive in the SEC is to be uniquely innovative and to develop their recruits within their scheme better than 95% of the other staffs out there. When you're at such a disadvantage, instead of trying to buck up beyond your means and do what everyone else does, it's sometimes necessary to look in the mirror and realize that unless things change monumentally, accept what you are and make the best of it. Aside from monster donors joining the Mizzou NIL Collective pool, Mizzou just won't compete at a level above their SEC peers.

3. The Triple Option keeps the opposing defense off the field. It's that simple. If the Service Academies, with all their recruiting disadvantages, can have the top 2 rushing offenses in the country (yes, I know, they run the ball 85% of the time, so statistically this is going to happen) and have the 3rd academy rank 8th (Navy) and have all three teams in the top 25 in CFB for TOP, that's not nothin'. Most years, you're going to see those 3 teams in the top 10 if not top 5 for TOP. If I was Mizzou's coach and changing up to the Triple Option, I do believe it would still be important to have a passing game where you're throwing the ball 15-20 times a game to keep the defense honest. If you're Mizzou, how do you compete with uptempo teams like Tennessee where you're so overmatched defensively that you have to hope to put up 50 and outscore them? You keep their offense off the field. Yeah, it didn't work this year, but that's largely how you have to do it unless you're Georgia, and you can out-athlete and out-scheme them.

I know this is a preposterous notion and something that's probably 0.0001% likely to happen, but this is what I'd do to try and get Mizzou to punch above their weight in the SEC. Similar to the Paul Johnson GT teams that had a really good run in the ACC. Below is a blasphemous article written by someone who's either a kU fan or a writer for kU, but this reading does highlight some of my thoughts on why this could be an effective avenue for Mizzou to eventually take. Admittedly, I'm a big fan of defensive slugfests and well-executed offenses, whether they're high octane or grind it out and the Triple Option is more appealing to me because of that. But logically (at least in my warped reality) this would make sense for a school like Mizzou who's perpetually behind their SEC peers and about to drop even further down the totem pole with the addition of OU/Texas.

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Just a thought on NIL

I am not one to try to tell other people how to spend their money and I don't know if some of these people are already doing so, but wouldn't it be nice if the few billionaire alumnus like Stan Kroenke, Rich Kinder, the Cherng's, and Rodger Riney could spare about 5 mil a year. When you have billions that's pretty much chump change. Also Multi-millionaires like David Novak, Larry Potterfield, Clyde Lear and Derry Brownfield would be helpful as well.

Again, not trying to spend anyone's money, just thinking what could be.

NEW STORY UPDATED FOOTBALL SCHOLARSHIP CHART

I've taken out everyone we know who has transferred so far, added Cody Schrader on scholarship, taken out the guys we know aren't coming back in 2023 and added in the committed recruits (all freshmen except Triston Newson). I did the best I could. I'm sure I made a mistake somewhere and I'm sure you all will find it

Two routes to NIL $ in this current climate, Dom and others…

1) you come in as a top-flight recruit (like #3)
2) you earn it on the field, like #7 did

What this means…
1) we have to figure out how to pay those who earn it - and outbid others
2) we will likely have to pay players like Dom out of the gate, too (he was a four star)
3) we will likely never compete when it comes to pure $

I do think we have a coach who’s better equipped than some to figure this out.

FOOTBALL Last chance to pontificate

1. Who is your breakout offensive player of the year?

2. Who is your Defensive breakout player of the year?

3. Who is your potential position Coach of the year?

4. Who is your surprise offensive player of the year?

5. Who is your surprise Defensive player of the year ?

6. Who is your team MVP?

7. Final record including Bowl game?

Just looking to see where our minds are ahead of the game in what 9 Days!!! Pontificating will be on the back burner very soon as film will take over and either prove us right or very wrong. Until then we can do whatever we like.

NEW STORY TEN THOUGHTS FOR MONDAY MORNING

1) If you live under a rock, news came out yesterday that Dominic Lovett intends to transfer. I wrote some about that last night and won't rehash the whole thing. I think it's possible Missouri holds on to him, but I believe it is unlikely. Assuming the Lovett move happens (again, he can't actually enter the portal until next Monday and has not said himself that he is entering the portal), it is the first big transfer blow to Mizzou this offseason. It will almost certainly not be the last. This is the new normal. Every team in the SEC is going to lose some starters. Every team in the SEC is going to add some guys who have been starters somewhere else. The pace is going to be dizzying for the next few weeks.

2) There's no way to deny losing Lovett is/would be a big blow to the Missouri offense. He was sixth in the SEC in receptions and 3rd in receiving yards. He was the first Mizzou receiver to top 800 yards in a season since Emanuel Hall in 2018. And he did all that for a passing game that was below average most of the year. He essentially did it in ten games because he had a combined one catch for 10 yards in the Kentucky and New Mexico State games.

Lovett had 25.3% of the team's total receptions and 33.1% of its total receiving yards. Here are those numbers for the rest of the SEC's top 10 this year:

Jalin Hyatt, TEN: 24.7% of receptions, 31.8% of yards
Antwane Wells, SC: 25.2% of receptions, 29.0% of yards
Malik Heath, OM: 24.3% of receptions, 30.3% of yards
Jonathan Mingo, OM: 22.2% of receptions, 29.3% of yards
Matt Landers, ARK: 20.75% of receptions, 28.2% of yards
Jadon Haselwood, ARK: 27.8% of receptions, 25.4% of yards
Will Sheppard, VAN: 30% of receptions, 34.5% of yards
Malik Nabors, LSU: 22% of receptions, 25% of yards
Evan Stewart, TAM: 24.1% of receptions, 24.6% of yards

So Lovett ranked third in the league in terms of percentage of receptions and second in the league in percentage of yards. That's what Missouri has to replace next year. Is it possible? Sure. Is it easy? Absolutely not.

3) So, you are asking, if he's just the first portal surprise, who are the others? Obviously, we don't know at this point. I've been told by people I believe that Luther Burden is fully expected to stay at Missouri. As I wrote last night, I'm not going to tell you he's absolutely staying because only Luther can say that for sure and I haven't talked to him. But the expectation is that he'll be back. I have had a couple of people mention Kris Abrams-Draine and Ennis Rakestraw as guys to keep an eye on in the next week or so. Does that mean they're leaving? No. But they're at least on our radar as guys to pay attention to. KAD also may have the option to enter the NFL Draft. I also posted on Saturday morning that I've been told from a source I believe that Jaylon Carlies plans to stay at Missouri. You're going to keep some and you're going to lose some. It's college football in 2022.

4) Is this just the new normal? For now, yes. The general consensus--at least among fans and coaches--is that the way we're doing things right now can't continue. I think there are likely to be some changes to things. What are they? I have no idea. Now that the one-time transfer rule is out there, I'm not sure you can take it back. When you combine it with NIL, what you've basically got is an open market of every player in the country being a free agent and taking bids. It's insanity. But what's the fix? The NIL skeptics were right. I really didn't think we'd find ourselves in situations where boosters were willing to pony up six figures for players and it would be outright free agency. I was wrong. I underestimated--again--how important college football is to fans. Especially in the SEC. If there's a way to buy a team in this league, there are plenty of willing purchasers. The only way I see to curb this to some degree is by divorcing college sports from education and making the players employees. There are plenty of issues with that too and I'm not going to pretend to be smart enough to have thought them all through. But I think you have to start going to something with contracts. Will that turn some fans off? No doubt. But the current model is turning some off too. Not enough to matter, though. Attendance is rising again, TV ratings are hitting record numbers and so is the money the networks are paying. While individual people are bemoaning this as the ruination of college sports, there's really no proof it's actually true. Bottom line, I don't know what the solution is and I'm glad it's not my job to figure it out.

5) I do think it's also an important point to make that this isn't ALL about NIL money for every player. For some of them it probably is. Just like for some adults, the only thing they look at when taking a job is the paycheck. And money is definitely an important factor in a lot of these moves. But I don't think it's fair to say that every single kid is just chasing the biggest payday. That's not true. And also, if they are, it's not really fair of us to criticize them for doing so. This is the system. They didn't invent it. They're just taking advantage of it. The coaches are doing it every year. Most of us are doing it in our regular lives. Why are they bad people for doing what most of us do all the time? Because it hurts our favorite team sometimes? That's an us problem, not a them problem.

I think the main thing is that fans have always wanted to believe that the school and the uniform matters as much to the players as it does to them. Sorry, but it doesn't. And it never has. These kids are all using these schools as a place to play football and a stepping stone to what they hope will be an NFL career. There's nothing wrong with that. I went to Mizzou for the journalism school. Most people pick the school they go to based on what will best set them up to make the best living when they're done. It's no different with athletes. It's just that their major is their sport. And a lot of us really like watching it. Nobody cared if I was doing stuff at KOMU or at the student TV station for some other school. A whole lot of people care where these kids play football (My entire job is literally based on that fact). What NIL and the free transfer has really done is to strip away the delusions that these players are in it for Good Old State U. It's true for a few. But for most of them it isn't and never has been.

UNLV football

There was a lot of worry and shots taken last year when Desiree Reed Francois’ football hire at UNLV went 2-10 (which followed up an 0-6 start). But Marcus Arroyo and the Rebels beat New Mexico last night to move to 4-1 and lead their division of the Mountain West at 2-0.

They may fall apart but the start is notable. The last time UNLV won more than four games was 2017. The last time it had a winning season was 2013. Arroyo’s improvement in year three might be a sign the Mizzou AD is decent at hiring coaches…or at least better than many here feared a year ago
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