I know Drew does a Tiger Tipoff before Each game, but I have some free time at work and wanted to discuss a few things prior to that.
At the beginning of the year Arkansas had one of the most talent filled rosters in Men's basketball. They had length, they had wings, they had versatility. They WERE a legit Final Four contender. Then the season started. It has not been a bad season for the Razorbacks. They are 11-2 and those two losses are to a then ranked Creighton team playing at full strength (Ryan Kalkbrenner is now hurt) and to a 12-1 LSU team. Both very respectable losses. They lost to Creighton by 3 in Hawaii and by 3 to LSU in what was there worst offensive perfomance of probably the last two years. They shot 4-25 from behind the arc against LSU. If they would have shot 24% from behind the arc (two more makes) they win that game. So Arky is a good team. They are currently 16 in ESPN's power rankings.
One of two remaining unbeaten teams in men's college basketball, the Boilermakers are back to No. 1 as Power Rankings return and conference play begins
www.espn.com
This issue Arky has? DEPTH. Nick Smith, their highly prized freshman and projected Lottery pick is out indefinitely. Trevon Brazile, who all Mizzou fans know well, is out for the year. What this has meant for Arky is this, VERY EXTENDED minutes for the starters. Anthony Black, their 6'8" point guard, Ricky Council IV, their 6'6" wing that can get into the lane at will and Davonte Davis, their 6'4" wing all played FORTY MINUTES against LSU. Arkansas' bench played a TOTAL OF 12 minutes. What was a strength is now a weakness. They have NO depth.
What they do have is a talented starting 5. If you are playing man defense, Ricky Council IV is going to get to the rim on you. He goes down hill and when he gets going, HE GETS GOING. He is athletic, has a mid range game and attacks the rim and the paint area. He is a problem for ANY team. Anthony Black, is the type of guard Dennis Gates wants to recruit here. He handles the ball well. He is always calm. and at 6'8" he is a match up problem for most point guards. Jordan Walsh, is a 6'7" junkyard dog. He guards, he scrambles for loose balls, he does the dirty work and does not need the ball. Imagine a slightly taller Tre Gomillion (sans the occasional ballhandling responsibilities). Makhi MItchell is a 6'9" kid with a motor. Their starting 5 is GOOD.
But, that is all they have. They don't shoot from the outside. Because they are not deep, they did not rush tempo against LSU. They really can't. What they do well, is limit their turnovers, keep the game close and overwhelm you with drives to the basket if you are in man to man defense.
This is not as tough of a game as many fans will think. I see us playing a LOT of zone. I see Black exhausted by the end of this game because he has to guard Honor, or Hodge or Gholston or East who should all be fresh because we go 9 deep. I see Council frustrated because his driving lanes are clogged up and he has to settle for jumpers just out of his range. I also see a couple of players that have not been counted on playing having to play because Kobe gets someone in foul trouble.
Having said all that, because this game is in Bud Walton Arky can win. If they do, it will have to be a rock fight like our team had to play last year. If they do win it will be a game in the low 60s or 50s and we just shoot like shit.
If they Tigers shoot 33% or better from behind the arc, this game is a win.
Having said that, I predict the Tigers win 73-62.
M-I-Z!!!
@GabeD @drewking0222 What do you think?