1) When last you read these thoughts, Missouri had not taken a quarterback out of the transfer portal. That changed on Friday when former Miami signal caller
Jake Garcia committed to Mizzou. Garcia's addition is interesting on a few levels. First, let's just talk about what it means for the QB competition. Garcia and Sam Horn will split reps in spring football (which is probably only about six weeks away). Then Gabarri Johnson will hit campus in June. And at some point before fall camp (I don't know exactly when) Brady Cook should be healthy. It's not realistic to think Johnson is a major part of the conversation this year. So it's really a three-way competition between Garcia, Cook and Horn. There are arguments to be made that all three could have an edge:
Cook--Experience. And if nothing else, Eli Drinkwitz has shown he likes to lean on experience
Horn--He's been the future for a couple years now. He's always been the one that was supposed to be the centerpiece of Drinkwitz's rebuild
Garcia--He's the new guy. You don't bring in transfers for no reason. And he was the highest-rated of the three out of high school.
I don't have a clue who will win the job. I just hope we're allowed to see some of spring football to have the first clue what any of them look like.
2) At least one of the three almost certainly won't be on Missouri's roster next season. That's saying nothing bad about any of them and not trying to push any of them out the door. But quarterback is the only position where only one guy plays (and we've learned over the last couple of years, it's going to take something monumental for more than one guy to play). All three want to start. All three can be starters in college (say what you want, but Cook was a middle of the road type SEC starter; he can be a starter for a college football team and even some Power Five teams).
If Cook wins the job: Is Horn willing to wait another year? The interesting thing is Cook even has a year after THIS one. He was only a redshirt sophomore this season.
If Horn wins the job: Would Cook be willing to stick around to be the backup? Most guys who have already been a starter and lost their job wouldn't be. If Horn wins the job, it pretty much means Cook isn't going to start again in his career here barring injury. This is the only scenario where you would think about Garcia leaving because Horn is younger than him, so if Horn's the starter, it might mean Garcia never would be. But he's already transferred once, he'd have to get a waiver to do so again and the NCAA has said it's going to be stingier with waivers. If he wanted to transfer again, Garcia might have to drop down a level.
If Garcia wins the job: Could Missouri lose Cook AND Horn? Same scenario applies for Cook here, but with Horn, this is now a guy who is only one year ahead of him rather than two. If Garcia's your starter, Horn's probably looking at waiting until year four to take over. That seems...doubtful to me.
3) No new players can enter the transfer portal now until May 1, except for those who have already graduated. Graduate transfers can enter the portal at any time. But other than that May 1-15 is the only time players can enter the portal. As of today, we've got Missouri at
91 scholarship players. Again, we're not sure that's exactly right. It could be slightly less than that. But if all of the signed players show up, Mizzou is a handful of players over the limit. They have to be at 85 by the first day of fall camp. So you're looking at somewhere around six guys who have to either transfer out or not be on scholarship next year. And that doesn't even include anyone Missouri could add in the portal going forward. So you could easily still be looking at close to ten MORE players who have to transfer out.
4) What does Mizzou still need in the portal? I still think they could use a tight end, though that may not be something they take. I think they need at least one more offensive lineman and maybe two. I think an edge rusher is still a possibility and I'm not ruling out running back, though they may be okay standing pat there. So I think you're looking at three or four more additional transfers in at some point before fall camp. Which means somewhere around eight to ten guys leaving the roster.